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India replaces China as top US smartphone supplier; captures 40% share

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New Delhi: In a landmark shift for global trade, India has emerged as a primary supplier of smartphones to the United States, meeting approximately 40% of the demand previously fulfilled by China. According to a McKinsey & Company report released on Friday, April 17, 2026, this transition is part of a broader U.S. strategy to diversify its supply chains, which has already redirected over $80 billion in trade away from China toward India and ASEAN economies.

The report notes that India’s rise is particularly impressive given the geographical distance of 13,000 km, reflecting a significant maturity in the nation’s electronics manufacturing ecosystem. This growth has been catalyzed by the success of the Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme, which recently entered its 2.0 phase with a committed outlay of $5 billion (₹46,000 crore) to further boost domestic value addition.

Key Highlights from the McKinsey Report

  • Export Dominance: Smartphones have become India’s leading merchandise export category, with total mobile phone exports projected to reach $35 billion for the 2025–26 financial year.

  • U.S. Market Share: Data from the second quarter of 2025 indicated that India had already overtaken China to become the top exporter of smartphones to the U.S., commanding a 44% share compared to China’s 25%.

  • ASEAN’s Role: While India leads in smartphones, ASEAN economies have successfully replaced two-thirds of U.S. laptop imports that were previously sourced from China.

  • Supply Chain Resilience: Despite geopolitical realignments, global trade reached new highs in 2025, with emerging economies like India standing out for expanding trade across multiple regions despite overall export stagnation in other sectors.

This shift underscores a structural change in manufacturing hubs across Asia, as global brands increasingly adopt a “China+1” strategy. Projections suggest that India could account for as much as 25–30% of global iPhone production by 2027, solidifying its position as a reliable technology manufacturing hub.

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