Mumbai: Gold prices soared to a record high of Rs 1,20,900 per 10 grams in futures trading on Tuesday, as investors rushed to the yellow metal amid rising global uncertainty, weakening U.S. economic stability, and expectations of looser monetary policy.
On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for December 2025 delivery jumped by Rs 651, or 0.54%, while the February 2026 contracts surged to Rs 1,22,231 per 10 grams, up Rs 648 or 0.53%, marking an all-time high for both contracts.
The rally was also mirrored in the silver market, with December silver futures rising by Rs 281 to Rs 147,800 per kg. March 2026 silver contracts advanced even further, hitting Rs 149,500 per kg after a Rs 327 gain.
Global Drivers Behind the Spike
The precious metals market is currently riding a wave of investor anxiety, triggered by a convergence of macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
In the United States, the federal government entered a partial shutdown after lawmakers failed to strike a funding deal, intensifying market fears. Meanwhile, continued geopolitical instability, including trade friction and regional conflicts, has further strengthened demand for traditional safe-haven assets like gold.
Adding to the bullish sentiment are growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve may begin trimming interest rates sooner than previously anticipated, a move that typically weakens the dollar and makes gold more attractive for investors.
International Rally Pushes Gold Above $4,000/oz
Gold’s meteoric rise is not limited to domestic markets. On the global stage, gold futures for December delivery breached the $4,000 per ounce mark for the first time, reflecting a near 1% daily gain.
Silver, however, saw more muted international movement, with prices slipping slightly to $48.43 per ounce, despite strong domestic demand.
Speculators and Safe-Haven Demand Fueling the Run
Traders note that beyond institutional demand, speculative activity on MCX has also intensified, contributing to the price spike. With festive demand in India and international buyers seeking shelter from market volatility, the trend is likely to continue in the short term.
“We’re seeing both retail and institutional players increasing their long positions, anticipating that economic headwinds globally will continue to support precious metals,” said another market participant.
Outlook: Cautious Optimism With Volatility Ahead
While the near-term outlook for gold remains bullish, analysts caution that any clarity on U.S. fiscal policy or surprise moves by central banks could prompt corrections. Nevertheless, the current climate suggests gold may remain elevated through the remainder of the year, particularly with festive and wedding seasons driving physical demand in India.
With safe-haven appetite on the rise and no immediate resolution in sight for the U.S. fiscal standoff, investors are expected to stay bullish on precious metals — keeping both gold and silver firmly in the spotlight.